are my current speculations (as of July 2000). What degree
of probability do I assign to all of them becoming actualized?
To be truthful, it changes from time to time. Most days I
am extremely optimistic about my personal world view and would
give the awakening of the noosphere a 100% probability of
occurring within my lifetime. Then there are my more modest
days when I admit that these speculations are at best only
mid-points in a wide range of possibilities. Yet I don't let
days like that dim my desire to speculate about such things,
because I know that the rate of technical advancement is itself
increasing at near exponential rates. Something has got to
give. The wave of omnipresent, immersive computing is growing
in size, and Inhabited Virtual Worlds are already a part of
the everyday reality of some of the best minds on the planet.
How can one help but feel positive with such consciousness-expanding
events like these taking place?
The only things that shade
my positive outlook from time to time are the dark shadows
of censorship, invasion of privacy, and loss of free speech
that occasionally pass over the Internet. If the awakening
of the noosphere is a true singularity, arising on the edge
of chaos, let us hope it organizes in a way that supports
the cognitive liberty of every member of our species. Should
such a transformation in human consciousness ever actually
occur, this planet could truly become a paradise.
As R. Buckminster Fuller (1)
explained in detail in his most comprehensive and accessible
work, Critical Path, there is more than enough wealth and
resources for everyone on Earth to live comfortably, if only
the bureaucrats would stay out of the way.
Technologically we now have
four billion billionaires on board Spaceship Earth who are
entirely unaware of their good fortune. Unbeknownst to them
their legacy is being held in probate by general ignorance,
fear, selfishness, and a myriad of paralyzing professional,
licensing, zoning, building laws and the like, as bureaucratically
maintained by the incumbent power structures. (2)
Since we live in a universe
that is governed by the laws of quantum mechanics, why not
hold a quantum world view? In a quantum universe nothing is
actual, but all is possible. The future is up to us.
See you in cyberspace!